Of having the best hand A Note

It is difficult to estimate your probability of having the best hand. You need to be able to think critically about the development of the hand as well as have a good idea of how your opponents play. After reading this chapter, the usefulness of being able to pinpoint your probability of winning should be clear.

You can have the same probability of having the best hand in a variety of ways. It is not as static as this table shows. You can think you have a 50% chance of winning while your opponent knows whether he has a 0% or a 100% chance of winning. This can happen if he was on a draw. For example, if there is a possible straight draw and a possible flush draw on the board, and a card comes that completes a possible straight draw, you will not know if he has a straight or a busted flush, but he will know. You can also think you have a 50% chance of winning while your opponent thinks the same. For example, you could have a split middle pair of T's with a A kicker, thinking your opponent either has top pair or middle pair with a worse kicker. Meanwhile, your opponent could have top pair with a bad kicker and think you have a top pair with a better kicker or middle pair. In that case, both of you will think you are close to having a 50% chance of winning.

Difference scenarios may provide you with the same probabilities of having the best hand. You need to act according to the situation instead of just the probability. These issues are discussed in the sections of "50% of having the best hand" and "75% of having the best hand".

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