What you're seeing here is a good example of what I called BSB play. We have a bet from the button, which might be an attempt to steal the pot, and a call from the small blind, which doesn't necessarily indicate any strength. Your first thought should be that a big bet here might work. Then you need to consider what's unique about this situation, and see if those factors make you more or less eager to make your play.

The really unique aspects of this particular position are the relative stack sizes, the fact that your opponents are amateurs rather than experienced pros, and the TV coverage. Here's how I would weigh these factors:

  1. TV coverage. Being on television tends to make people nervous, and most people, when they get nervous, get cautious. Above all, they don't want to look foolish in front of millions of people.
  2. Amateurs rather than pros. They are less likely to see your play as part of a move, and more likely to see it as just a strong play from the big stack.
  3. Relative stack sizes. This factor cuts both ways. A big bet offers them a chance to double up and get back in the tournament, but it also offers a chance to exit quickly in sixth place, with a smaller prize payout. Even amateurs react differently to this situation. Some are just happy to be in the money and feel the pressure is now off, while others are calculating the value of moving up the ladder a rung or two.

On balance, it seems to me that the situation presents an even stronger case for betting here than normal, so I would Put the two players all-in with a $200,000 bet.

Action: You bet $200,000, and both players fold.

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